The Unjournal · Pivotal Questions Initiative

Live Workshop Sessions

Monday, March 16, 2026 · 11am–4pm ET / 3pm–8pm UK

✓ The workshop took place on March 16, 2026

We're continuing the discussion asynchronously and will be publicly sharing key materials soon. This site is evolving into a resource page.
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Collaborative Notes & Discussion

Use our shared Google Doc for substantive notes, questions, and discussion during and after the workshop.

Open Google Doc →

🔬 The Focal Case: Comparing StrongMinds/Friendship Bench (WELLBYs) vs AMF bednets (DALYs)—a 16× cost-effectiveness range driven by methodological choices. Read the detailed analysis →

📝 Where to contribute your thoughts — click for guidance
  • During live sessions: Google Doc tabs for substantive notes and questions (Zoom chat is for organizer announcements only)
  • Before/after sessions: Hypothes.is annotations on workshop pages for detailed feedback on specific content
  • Beliefs elicitation: Submit your calibrated probabilities on the Pivotal Questions

All contributions will be consolidated post-workshop. Questions? Email david.reinstein@unjournal.org

Workshop Segments

Each segment has its own discussion space with collaborative notes (Google Doc). Click a segment to view details and join the discussion.

SEGMENT 1 11:00–11:35 AM ET 35 min

Stakeholder Problem Statement & Pivotal Questions

Stakeholders present their WELLBY/DALY challenges (~10 min each), intro to key PQs (~5 min), plus agenda/timing discussion (~5 min). Intro slides

Speakers: David Reinstein (intro/background), Peter Hickman (Coefficient Giving), Matt Lerner (Founders Pledge)

5 min break/transition
SEGMENT 2 11:40 AM–12:10 PM ET 30 min

WELLBY Reliability Discussion

Is the linear WELLBY a useful and reliable measure for cross-intervention comparison? Previews key literature including Benjamin et al.

Presenter: Matt Lerner (Founders Pledge) · Discussant: Caspar Kaiser (U of Warwick)

5 min break/transition
SEGMENT 3 12:15–12:40 PM ET 25 min

DALY/QALY↔WELLBY Conversion

Approaches to interconvertibility between health and wellbeing measures

Presenter: Samuel Dupret (Happier Lives Institute) · Discussion Lead: Julian Jamison

45 minute break (12:40–1:25 PM ET) — discussion/overflow permitted. Reconvene at 1:25.
SEGMENT 4 1:25–1:35 PM ET 10 min

Brief: The Unjournal & Pivotal Questions

Reinstein recaps/explains the Unjournal prioritization and evaluation process and our Pivotal Questions initiative

Speaker: David Reinstein

SEGMENT 5 1:35–2:05 PM ET 30 min

Research Presentation: Benjamin et al.

Scale-use heterogeneity findings, calibration methods, and implications for WELLBY measurement. Slides

Speakers: Dan Benjamin (UCLA/NBER), Miles Kimball (CU Boulder)

SEGMENT 6 2:05–2:30 PM ET 25 min

Evaluator Responses & Discussion

Evaluation findings and technical research issues, author dialogue. Caspar's slides

Presenters/Discussants: Caspar Kaiser, David Reinstein, Valentin Klotzbücher

SEGMENT 7 2:30–3:00 PM ET 30 min

Beliefs Elicitation

Explains belief elicitation methods and interfaces, then participants complete self-guided form and Metaculus questions. Breakout discussions encouraged.

Presenters: David Reinstein, Ori Heffetz (Cornell)

SEGMENT 8 3:00–3:25 PM ET 25 min

Practitioner Panel & Open Discussion

Brief presentations (~10 min each) on practical implications, reaction/discussion to workshop content, followed by open Q&A. A private follow-up discussion among heavily involved participants will follow.

Panelists: Matt Lerner (FP), Peter Hickman (CG) · Discussant: Ori Heffetz

📚 Background Documents

These analysis pages map the key issues, assumptions, and evidence—helping us get on the same page before discussion. You may find these helpful background for segments 2 & 3.

📄 Linear WELLBY Analysis

Cardinality, neutral point, shifters vs. stretchers, Bond & Lang critique

📄 DALY↔WELLBY Conversion

Empirical anchors (5–10 WELLBYs per QALY), conceptual issues

AI-assisted drafts (Mar 2026) — annotate errors directly on the pages.

Related Resources

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About this page

Some content on these workshop pages was drafted with AI assistance based on our own source materials, notes, and research. We've reviewed it carefully, but errors or unclear passages may remain. If you spot anything incorrect or confusing, please let us know—ideally via a Hypothes.is annotation on the relevant passage, or by emailing contact@unjournal.org.