Live Workshop Sessions | Wellbeing Measures Workshop

Note: Segment structure is approximately set, though timing and details may still be adjusted.

Participation Notice: Comments and Q&A submitted through embedded forms will be publicly visible. Live discussion documents require the shared link to access. Recording and access decisions will be adjusted based on participant preferences; some practitioner segments may have restricted access.

Workshop Segments

Each segment has its own discussion space with collaborative notes (Google Doc). Click a segment to view details and join the discussion.

SEGMENT 1 11:00–11:35 AM ET 35 min

Stakeholder Problem Statement & Pivotal Questions

Stakeholders present their WELLBY/DALY challenges (~10 min each), intro to key PQs (~5 min), plus agenda/timing discussion (~5 min)

Speakers: Peter Hickman (Coefficient Giving), Matt Lerner (Founders Pledge)

Upcoming

5 min break/transition

SEGMENT 2 11:40 AM–12:10 PM ET 30 min

WELLBY Reliability Discussion

Is the linear WELLBY a useful and reliable measure for cross-intervention comparison? Previews key literature including Benjamin et al.

Presenter: Matt Lerner (Founders Pledge) · Discussant: Caspar Kaiser (U of Warwick)

Upcoming

5 min break/transition

SEGMENT 3 12:15–12:40 PM ET 25 min

DALY/QALY↔WELLBY Conversion

Approaches to interconvertibility between health and wellbeing measures

Discussion Lead: Julian Jamison (University of Exeter)

Upcoming

☕ 45 minute break (12:40–1:25 PM ET) — discussion/overflow permitted. Reconvene at 1:25.

SEGMENT 4 1:25–1:35 PM ET 10 min

Brief: The Unjournal & Pivotal Questions

Reinstein recaps/explains the Unjournal prioritization and evaluation process and our Pivotal Questions initiative

Speaker: David Reinstein

Upcoming

SEGMENT 5 1:35–2:05 PM ET 30 min

Research Presentation: Benjamin et al.

Scale-use heterogeneity findings, calibration methods, and implications for WELLBY measurement. Authors share outline in advance; participants encouraged to pre-read and pre-ask.

Speakers: Dan Benjamin (UCLA/NBER), Miles Kimball (CU Boulder)

Upcoming

SEGMENT 6 2:05–2:30 PM ET 25 min

Evaluator Responses & Discussion

Evaluation findings and technical research issues, author dialogue

Presenters/Discussants: Caspar Kaiser, David Reinstein, Valentin Klotzbücher

Upcoming

SEGMENT 7 2:30–3:00 PM ET 30 min

Beliefs Elicitation

Reinstein explains the context; participants complete self-guided belief elicitation form, introduction to Metaculus. Breakout discussions encouraged.

David Reinstein + self-guided form

Upcoming

SEGMENT 8 3:00–3:25 PM ET 25 min

Practitioner Panel & Open Discussion

Brief presentations (~10 min each) on practical implications, reaction/discussion to workshop content, followed by open Q&A. A private follow-up discussion among heavily involved participants will follow.

Panelists: Matt Lerner (FP), Peter Hickman (CG) · Discussant: Caspar Kaiser

Upcoming

📚 Background Documents

These analysis pages map the key issues, assumptions, and evidence—helping us get on the same page before discussion. You may find these helpful background for segments 2 & 3.

📄 Linear WELLBY Analysis

Cardinality, neutral point, shifters vs. stretchers, Bond & Lang critique

📄 DALY↔WELLBY Conversion

Empirical anchors (5–10 WELLBYs per QALY), conceptual issues

AI-assisted drafts (Mar 2026) — annotate errors directly on the pages.

Related Resources

Coda PQ Database → Metaculus Questions → Benjamin et al. Evaluation → Forecasting Tournament →